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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jul 31, 2024 02:00PM ET
5
Weeks
6
Days
8
Hours
40
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 31, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.670
5.00 - 5.25
10.3%
5.25 - 5.50
89.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 89.7% | 87.6% | 91.7% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.760
4.75 - 5.00
6.4%
5.00 - 5.25
59.5%
5.25 - 5.50
34.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 59.5% | 57.5% | 58.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 34.1% | 35.0% | 36.7% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 07, 2024 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.915
4.50 - 4.75
2.4%
4.75 - 5.00
26.1%
5.00 - 5.25
50.1%
5.25 - 5.50
21.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 26.1% | 26.0% | 24.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 50.1% | 49.2% | 50.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 21.4% | 22.1% | 23.6% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.025
4.25 - 4.50
1.7%
4.50 - 4.75
19.7%
4.75 - 5.00
43.6%
5.00 - 5.25
29.2%
5.25 - 5.50
5.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 19.7% | 19.7% | 16.7% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 43.6% | 42.9% | 41.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 29.2% | 29.4% | 32.5% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.140
4.00 - 4.25
1.1%
4.25 - 4.50
12.9%
4.50 - 4.75
34.5%
4.75 - 5.00
34.7%
5.00 - 5.25
14.7%
5.25 - 5.50
2.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 34.5% | 34.1% | 30.1% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 34.7% | 34.5% | 36.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 14.7% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 12, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.345
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
4.00 - 4.25
7.2%
4.25 - 4.50
24.1%
4.50 - 4.75
34.6%
4.75 - 5.00
24.3%
5.00 - 5.25
8.2%
5.25 - 5.50
1.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 24.1% | 24.0% | 19.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 34.6% | 34.3% | 33.3% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 24.3% | 24.3% | 28.7% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 23, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.450
3.50 - 3.75
0.3%
3.75 - 4.00
4.5%
4.00 - 4.25
17.3%
4.25 - 4.50
30.4%
4.50 - 4.75
28.4%
4.75 - 5.00
14.6%
5.00 - 5.25
3.9%
5.25 - 5.50
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 30.4% | 30.2% | 27.2% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 28.4% | 28.3% | 30.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 14.6% | 14.7% | 19.1% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 04, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.650
3.50 - 3.75
1.3%
3.75 - 4.00
7.5%
4.00 - 4.25
20.3%
4.25 - 4.50
29.9%
4.50 - 4.75
25.2%
4.75 - 5.00
12.2%
5.00 - 5.25
3.1%
5.25 - 5.50
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 20.3% | 20.3% | 15.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 29.9% | 29.8% | 27.7% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 25.2% | 25.2% | 28.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 12.2% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 16, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.740
3.25 - 3.50
1.2%
3.50 - 3.75
7.2%
3.75 - 4.00
19.7%
4.00 - 4.25
29.5%
4.25 - 4.50
25.5%
4.50 - 4.75
12.8%
4.75 - 5.00
3.6%
5.00 - 5.25
0.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 19.7% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 29.5% | 29.3% | 27.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 25.5% | 25.4% | 28.9% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 12.8% | 12.9% | 17.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Jun 20, 2024 04:55AM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar steady, sterling gains after UK inflation data
By Investing.com - Jun 19, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar steadied Wednesday after overnight losses, while sterling edged higher after the U.K. inflation returned to the Bank of England’s target for the first time in nearly...
Dollar just lower; euro set for sharp weekly loss on political turmoil
By Investing.com - Jun 14, 2024
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped marginally Friday, while the euro also fell, heading for a sharp weekly loss amid political turmoil in the region. At 04:20 ET (08:20 GMT), the Dollar Index,...
European stocks slip lower at the end of a turbulent week
By Investing.com - Jun 14, 2024
Investing.com - European stock markets fell Friday, ending a turbulent week on a negative note as investors digested a deluge of information potentially guiding future global monetary policy. At 03:10...
Analysis
Nasdaq 100: Key Support Levels to Watch for a Long Entry Amid Pullback
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2
Federal Reserve meeting and inflation data is now behind us. Nasdaq 100 keeps making new highs, but it looks like bulls have an appetite for more. Meanwhile, bears seem to be taking over in Europe...
Apple Puts AI in Your Pocket, but Can It Tell You Which Stocks to Buy?
By David Wagner - Jun 13, 2024
3
Apple scored new all-time highs thanks to its AI announcements. Integrating AI into Apple devices will bring the technology into everyday life. Are generalist AIs effective for stock market...
Billionaire Investor Einhorn Commits 29% Portfolio on This Stock With 20%+ Upside
By Damian Nowiszewski - Jun 13, 2024
14
David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital has outperformed the S&P 500 with a 42% return over the past three years. The fund's largest holdings, Green Brick Partners and Consol Energy are key to its...